Bitcoin Faces Downturn, Analysts Predict $40K Bottom Ahead
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A prominent cryptocurrency analyst has indicated that Bitcoin is likely to remain in its current bear market, with potential for a significant decline in prices ahead. By analyzing a wave structure, the expert has outlined the anticipated trajectory for Bitcoin (BTC), suggesting that the digital asset has not yet found its lowest point and might see a brief recovery before tumbling below the $40,000 mark.
The analyst, known as Crypto Bullet, has expressed concerns over Bitcoin’s recent price movements on social media platform X. He anticipates that the leading cryptocurrency could experience additional drops before the bear market concludes, depicting Bitcoin’s price trajectory as a “Double ZigZag (WXY)” formation. This analysis reflects the price activity observed since BTC reached its peak in October 2025.
In his assessment, Crypto Bullet highlighted how Bitcoin has experienced prolonged consolidation between $62,000 and $78,000, which contrasts sharply with the much shorter period spent in the $84,000 to $97,000 range between November 2025 and January 2026. This extended sideways trend is interpreted as a sign that the bearish market structure is still unfolding.
The expert believes that the recent uptick in Bitcoin’s price above $78,000 should not be misconstrued as the end of the bear market. Instead, it may represent a significant corrective phase. His forecast suggests a potential final rally towards $85,000, establishing this figure as a key resistance level, just above his projected ABC target of $82,500.
According to Crypto Bullet, the completion of wave W occurred after Bitcoin’s high of over $126,000, followed by a drop to $60,000 in February 2026. Following this, he posits that wave X commenced when Bitcoin hit $60,000 and may culminate as the cryptocurrency approaches the $80,000 threshold.
Should this analysis hold true, the anticipated wave Y could signify the most drastic downturn yet, potentially securing Bitcoin’s bottom at $40,000. The timeline for this scenario suggests that the bear market could extend for another five months, echoing patterns seen in previous market cycles.
Crypto Bullet’s bearish projection foresees a severe retracement following the anticipated rebound above $80,000, positing an abrupt market correction that may lead Bitcoin to crash. This forecast indicates a sharp decrease that would erase substantial gains for optimistic traders who viewed the rise to $80,000 as the dawn of a new bullish trend.
In closing, with intense scrutiny from various analysts, including Tony Severino, who supports this outlook, Bitcoin’s fate appears to hinge on the upcoming developments in its price action, with a critical watch on the $40,000 level as a potential bottom.

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