XRP Shows Signs of Recovery as Key Support Holds Firm
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A Senior Altcoin Analyst, Sarah combines on-chain data with a background in venture capital research. With a Master’s in Computer Science, she provides precise evaluations…
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Recent technical analyses indicate that XRP might be nearing a turning point after maintaining a critical support level. Observers are carefully monitoring these developments, which may suggest a significant price rebound for the altcoin.
After enduring an eight-month period of decline, XRP’s momentum indicators and on-chain metrics are signaling potential reversals, echoing patterns seen during previous market bottoms. Currently, the relative strength index (RSI) for the XRP/BTC pairing has plunged to a notably low level of 24, marking the most oversold conditions since October 2025.
Such a depressed RSI has historically flagged market bottoms, with past examples leading to remarkable price increases of 65% to 345% against Bitcoin in late 2024 and 2025. The latest XRP/BTC chart indicates that the pair is trading within a prolonged consolidation range that has previously served as a launchpad for price surges.
The last significant drop to this region occurred in June 2025, prompting a 61% rise in the XRP/BTC ratio, alongside a remarkable 92% increase in XRP’s price, which reached a multi-year peak of $3.66. This historical context reinforces the potential for a reversal based on past trends.
Moreover, XRP’s MVRV Z-score is currently hovering near zero, a position that historically aligns with accumulation periods and suggests a market bottom. The current state indicates that most XRP holders are close to breakeven, which may alleviate selling pressure and indicate a potential exhaustion of recent downtrends. Similar patterns were observed in previous years, preceding significant price rallies in 2021, 2022, and 2024.
The data reveals that when the MVRV Z-score reached comparable lows in late 2024, it aligned with a broader market bottom at $0.30, setting the stage for a multi-month rally where XRP appreciates by 500% to achieve a high above $3.
In terms of immediate pricing dynamics, XRP/USD appears to maintain a cautiously optimistic outlook as long as it sustains support within the $1.25 to $1.30 range. A trader noted that XRP has consistently held this major support zone since early February 2026, suggesting that as long as this range holds, a brief upward movement towards $1.45 may be plausible.
The significance of this support level is underscored by the distribution of cost basis, with around 1.73 billion XRP being acquired around this price point. If XRP were to dip below this range, the next significant level of support lies at $1.15, where the 200-week simple moving average is positioned. Should the price fall beneath this threshold, it may pave the way for a sharp decline, with potential targets falling to $0.80, indicating a 41% drop from current valuations.
To summarize, maintaining the $1.27 to $1.30 support level is pivotal for XRP’s bulls, who would need to drive the XRP/USD ratio towards the $1.61 range to reclaim market control. The ongoing analysis reinforces the importance of these support levels as traders keenly anticipate the potential for an upward momentum shift.
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