XRP Revisits Key Trendline Amid Market Recovery
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The cryptocurrency XRP is revisiting a significant technical milestone, one that has previously heralded substantial price surges. After experiencing a notable decline of 62% that brought its price down to approximately $1.10 on February 6, XRP finds itself once again at the long-standing ascending support trendline.
This resurgence occurs in a broader context of recovery within the cryptocurrency sector, which has shown positive signs this week. On Wednesday, XRP saw a rebound of nearly 6%, while Bitcoin (BTC) managed to surpass the crucial $70,000 mark, contributing to a renewed sense of optimism in the market, even amidst ongoing global uncertainties.
Market analyst Sam Daodu highlighted in a report that XRP is currently positioned on the same rising trendline that has historically been associated with significant upward movements. This includes an impressive 630% rally recorded in 2024, along with an astounding increase of over 60,000% witnessed in 2017.
What distinguishes this current retest, according to Daodu, is the backing of a fully established spot XRP Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) framework. Since its inception in November 2025, US spot XRP ETFs have accumulated an impressive $1.24 billion in total inflows over four consecutive months of positive performance. Presently, around 797 million XRP tokens are securely held within ETF custody.
Additionally, during the recent price downturn, institutional wallets have fortified their positions by acquiring an extra 170 million XRP. Concurrently, Ripple has re-locked 700 million XRP in escrow on March 1, adhering to its established release protocol and helping to limit the influx of new supply into the market.
The month of March also carries historical significance for XRP, as data from the past 12 years indicates an average return of 18%, establishing it as the strongest month in the first quarter.
From a technical aspect, the support level at $1.27 is crucial to observe. This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and has acted as a floor during the recent bear market. Below this threshold, the $1.10–$1.11 range marks the exact point of the long-term ascending trendline that held steady in February. A break below this could indicate a failure of the channel, exposing XRP to further declines toward the $0.85–$1.00 range.
On the resistance front, $1.47 serves as the nearest Fibonacci resistance, closely trailed by the $1.50 neckline of a double bottom pattern. A sustained closing above $1.50 would validate this pattern and could project upward movement towards the $1.68–$1.70 zone.
Further insights from on-chain data reveal that around 1.85 billion XRP have been accumulated within the $1.76 to $1.80 range, a price level where many holders are likely to consider taking profits, potentially creating notable resistance.
The most significant supply zone is identified between $2.40 and $2.60; achieving a weekly close above this area would negate the larger descending structure and signal a stronger trend reversal.
Combining the historical strength of March, capitulation indicators, and prevailing supply pressures, Daodu suggests that XRP could potentially reach between $2.50 and $4.00 by the end of 2026.
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