XRP Poised for Possible March Rebound of 20%
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James Mitchell combines investment banking with cryptocurrency journalism to analyze the institutional adoption of digital assets. Specializing in ETFs and regulation, he translates complex developments…
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The price trajectory of XRP might be gearing up for a significant turnaround this March, potentially resulting in a 20% increase. Analysts are observing a bullish reversal setup alongside signs of reduced selling pressure from large holders, known as whales.
Recent performances reveal that XRP has suffered a striking decline of over 50% since October 2025, enduring five consecutive months of losses. Concerns linger over whether March will mark a turning point for the cryptocurrency.
One of the key indicators for a potential rally is the formation of a double-bottom pattern, which could suggest an upside target. This setup has emerged after the price consistently tested the support range between $1.30 and $1.35 during February.
A double-bottom pattern indicates that a market has found a support level, experiencing two dips to the same price point before rebounding upwards. In XRP’s case, the critical neckline is identified near the $1.50 mark. Should the price break through this level, forecasts indicate that XRP could surge to between $1.68 and $1.70 by March, marking an approximate 20% rise from current standings.
Additionally, data shows that net XRP flows are stabilizing after a prolonged distribution phase, which may further bolster the price outlook. For instance, the 90-day moving average of whale flows recently decreased significantly from around -33.50 million XRP in December to about -3.29 million XRP, signalling a notable decline in selling activity despite the asset’s price drop.
Moreover, holdings from wallets that contain at least 1,000 XRP have started to increase again in recent weeks. This could indicate that whales are not only ceasing their selling activities but may actually be starting to accumulate assets at these lower price points.
Historically, similar patterns of reduced whale activity have preceded impressive recoveries. For instance, in April 2025, a comparable situation led to a staggering 50% price rebound for XRP. Thus, an uptick in accumulation could push XRP toward its predicted target of $1.68 to $1.70.
However, there are potential hurdles that could thwart this bullish outlook. The area around $1.68 to $1.70 is positioned above the 50-day exponential moving average, a threshold XRP has struggled to surpass throughout February. If XRP fails to maintain its position above this moving average, it might trigger a bearish pennant, with forecasts suggesting a decline toward the $1 range.
Furthermore, broader economic uncertainties, including rising concerns over U.S.-Iran relations and shifts in market sentiment influenced by AI technologies, could further impact XRP’s ability to maintain momentum. A retraction in liquidity from high-risk assets could strain any attempts at a price breakout, despite the encouraging technical indicators present at this time.
The scenario around XRP in March remains highly dynamic, and whether it can achieve a resurgence will depend on both market sentiment and trading behavior of large holders. Traders should stay vigilant as developments unfold.
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