XRP Faces Uphill Battle Without Key Resistance Break
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James Mitchell combines investment banking with cryptocurrency journalism to analyze the institutional adoption of digital assets. Specializing in ETFs and regulation, he translates complex developments…
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XRP is currently caught in a challenging price predicament, struggling to reclaim territory that was once a stronghold for the cryptocurrency. The $1.80 mark, which solidified as a support level throughout 2025, has now become a formidable barrier since January 2026. An analyst has indicated that until XRP breaches this critical threshold, it may continue to face significant downward pressure.
During the previous year, XRP was confined within a wide parallel trading channel, characterized by an upper boundary near $3.45 and a lower boundary situated at $1.80. This price structure remained intact even as the cryptocurrency began its descent following an all-time peak of $3.60 in July 2025. Despite a series of declining price points in the latter part of the year, the $1.80 floor consistently held firm.
The turning point came with the dawn of January. For the first time, XRP closed below the crucial $1.80 level, marking a significant shift in market sentiment. From that moment on, this once-reliable support transformed into a ceiling, effectively thwarting any subsequent attempts for the asset to rebound.
In a recent analysis, Sjuul from AltCryptoGems highlighted the continuing challenges XRP faces. He observed that the asset is exhibiting a clear downtrend, characterized by a succession of lower highs and lower lows. As long as the price remains beneath the $1.80 resistance, Sjuul notes that the downtrend will persist, potentially leading to a lack of supportive price levels.
Despite a brief rally from March 9 to March 16, where XRP gained 15% and reached $1.54, the upward momentum quickly faltered. An attempted push to $1.60 met resistance at $1.6074, leading to a pullback and a current trading position around $1.46. This short-lived recovery is viewed as merely a rebound from a much lower price point of $1.27 observed at the end of February, rather than a signal of a broader market reversal.
Sjuul laid out two possible scenarios for XRP’s future in his analysis. The first scenario depends on XRP reclaiming the $1.80 level, which would invalidate the current bearish conditions and allow for a return to the previous trading channel. Conversely, if the token fails to break through this resistance, the risk of further declines increases notably.
He also flagged the $1.20 to $1.30 price range as a critical downside level. This area, described as a “no support zone,” saw little buying interest during XRP’s explosive rally in November 2024, meaning it could serve as a potential target if the price continues to struggle with resistance at $1.80.
As XRP navigates these uncertain waters, the pressure to break through significant resistance levels will be crucial for its recovery trajectory.
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