Bitcoin Price Still Falling, Analyst Predicts Future Lows Ahead
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A recent analysis from a cryptocurrency expert suggests that Bitcoin has not yet touched the bottom of its price cycle. The analyst, known as Crypto Con on X, utilizes a technical analysis approach featuring Bear Bands alongside the Halving Cycles Theory. He emphasizes that while there has been a short-term price increase, the overall bearish trend is expected to continue, signaling further declines before Bitcoin finds a stable price floor.
Crypto Con points out that Bitcoin’s recent rise above $71,000—following a significant drop below $64,000—is consistent with historical patterns and does not signify an end to the bear market. He explains that the current price movements align with his expectations based on established market theories. Notably, he observes that Bitcoin’s price hovering at the initial low of the Bear Bands indicator supports his pessimistic forecast.
In his detailed chart analysis, Crypto Con traces Bitcoin’s price journey back to 2011, revealing recurring patterns in bear market cycles. Each cycle typically follows a three-phase pattern: an initial low, a subsequent low, and a final bottom before any meaningful recovery occurs. He asserts that Bitcoin is yet to hit this ultimate low, which could happen in the near future.
According to the Bear Bands framework, the first significant low for Bitcoin was around $64,000 earlier this year. The analyst predicts that the second dip will target around $44,500, indicating that the cryptocurrency still faces considerable declines before approaching another support level. Moreover, he suggests a potential bottom around $28,500, defining this as the crucial threshold prior to any significant price recovery.
Currently valued above $72,000, a drop to $28,500 would reflect a drastic decrease of over 60%, reinforcing Crypto Con’s stance that the bear market is unlikely to end soon.
In terms of timelines, Crypto Con projects that the anticipated drop to $44,500 may not occur for at least five months, placing it within the mid-2026 timeframe. This suggests that investors and traders could be facing a prolonged period of downturn before seeing a potential price recovery.
If Bitcoin does reach the estimated cycle bottom of $28,500, Crypto Con believes this might not happen until three months following the second low, pushing the realistic timeframe for a price floor to fall between November 2026 and January 2027. This outlook emphasizes the need for caution among market participants as the current bearish cycle continues to unfold.
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Elena Rodriguez
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