XRP Faces Possible 40% Drop Against Bitcoin Amid ETF Surge
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Despite an ongoing streak of inflows into XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), there are growing concerns about the potential for a significant decline in its price relative to Bitcoin. The market dynamics have shifted in recent weeks, with XRP experiencing a notable dip against Bitcoin, which has prompted analysts to reassess the cryptocurrency’s outlook.
Over the last week, XRP has seen a decrease of approximately 5% compared to Bitcoin. Analysts have identified a bearish pattern in the price charts, indicating that XRP could face further declines. The current technical analysis suggests that the XRP/BTC trading pair could potentially drop by 40%, targeting levels around 0.000011 BTC.
This technical formation follows a descending triangle pattern that has been evolving since late 2024. Typically viewed as a bearish signal, this pattern was confirmed after XRP’s price closed below the critical trend line, raising alarms among traders and investors alike.
The measure for the projected decline is derived from the triangular formation itself, calculated by taking the height of the triangle and projecting it downward from the breakout point. As a result, the anticipated downside aligns closely with the 40% decrease speculated by market analysts.
One well-known analyst pointed out on a social platform that the XRP/BTC ratio is currently shaky, and any further breaches of key support levels could exacerbate the decline.
In contrast to this bearish sentiment, XRP’s position is buoyed somewhat by a consistent appetite for spot ETFs. Recent reports highlight that US-based XRP ETFs have seen nine consecutive days of net inflows, amounting to nearly $73.78 million during this period. This influx indicates a resilient institutional demand for XRP products, even as the cryptocurrency has experienced a 22% decline so far in 2026.
Investors and analysts alike have commented on the robust nature of this institutional interest. While the price remains under pressure, many believe that the sustained inflow into ETFs could signal a strengthening confidence in XRP’s long-term potential.
Even though the current market conditions appear challenging for XRP, the relative stability in institutional demand may play a crucial role in mitigating some of the price pressures. As XRP continues to navigate through this turbulent landscape, stakeholders will be closely monitoring both its price movements and institutional trends.
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Raj Patel
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