Bitcoin Halving Cycle Progresses, Supply Tightens Ahead of 2028
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The Bitcoin network has crossed a significant milestone in its halving cycle, now firmly beyond the midpoint as it braces for an anticipated supply reduction scheduled for 2028.
Insights from Bitcoin Magazine Pro indicate that this next halving is projected to occur in mid-April 2028, specifically at block height 1,050,000. With approximately 105,000 blocks still to be mined in the current cycle, Bitcoin is currently just over the halfway mark in what is referred to as epoch five, which commenced following the halving event in April 2024.
Halvings, which take place every 210,000 blocks, effectively reduce the rewards for miners by fifty percent, thereby constricting the generation of new Bitcoin. Presently, miners earn 3.125 BTC for each block mined, but this will decrease to approximately 1.562 BTC post-halving. As a result, the daily issuance of Bitcoin will shrink from around 450 BTC to around 225 BTC, reinforcing the cryptocurrency’s capped supply model of 21 million coins.
This mechanism has historically bolstered Bitcoin’s scarcity narrative. Previous halvings in 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024 all preceded significant price surges due to diminished issuance coinciding with sustained market demand. However, the current cycle presents a different scenario.
Since the April 2024 halving, Bitcoin has seen a price increase of roughly 15%, rising from approximately $64,000 to around $74,000. It reached a peak of nearly $126,000 in October 2025 before experiencing a subsequent decline to approximately $60,000 in February. This cycle appears to exhibit slower price growth in comparison to earlier cycles, a trend often attributed to Bitcoin’s increasing market capitalization and broader adoption.
As larger capital inflows become necessary to influence price movements, the cryptocurrency has experienced reduced volatility, leading to more gradual trends. The influence of institutional participants continues to reshape the market landscape, particularly through substantial investments in spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds.
Trading patterns have also been impacted by derivative market activities. A notable price movement saw Bitcoin rise from about $70,700 to over $76,000 within a two-day window, driven by the liquidation of leveraged short positions that boosted upward momentum. This shift resulted in approximately $225 million in wiped-out positions.
Simultaneously, miners are feeling the effects of declining block rewards. The reduced issuance is likely to squeeze profit margins, forcing operators to rely more heavily on transaction fees and scale to stay viable.
In response to shifting market dynamics, Bitcoin miners are turning their focus toward artificial intelligence as mining profitability declines. The halving of block rewards, combined with persistent high energy, cooling, and hardware costs, has strained operational margins within the industry.
To adapt, miners are repurposing their existing infrastructure—such as energy-intensive data centers and cooling systems—into hubs for high-performance computing that support AI workloads. This strategic pivot helps them engage with more stable and potentially lucrative revenue streams driven by the rising demand for AI training and inference.
Companies like TeraWulf and Core Scientific have already secured multi-billion-dollar agreements for AI hosting, while others are diverting funds from Bitcoin investments to finance the expansion of their data centers.
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