Bitcoin’s Next Bull Run: Analyst Highlights Key Signals
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James Mitchell combines investment banking with cryptocurrency journalism to analyze the institutional adoption of digital assets. Specializing in ETFs and regulation, he translates complex developments…
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A prominent crypto analyst, CrypFlow, has shared insights on what he believes will signify the onset of the next Bitcoin bull market. He emphasizes that the transition into a bullish trend does not occur immediately at the market’s lowest point but rather follows specific technical confirmations outlined in market charts.
Currently, Bitcoin is valued at $71,750, reflecting a 4.3% increase over the past day. Recent trading sessions have exhibited a positive momentum, with the cryptocurrency reaching an intra-day peak of $72,379, as reported by CoinGecko.
CrypFlow argues that the concept of the market bottom should not be equated with the beginning of a bull run. He explains that while the bottom signifies the cessation of downward price movement, it does not necessarily indicate a shift in the broader price trend. The key to marking a bull run lies in verifying that Bitcoin is no longer experiencing bear market behavior.
In his analysis, CrypFlow points to significant indicators such as the 50-week simple moving average (SMA) and the -14 level of the wave trend, which have historically demarcated bullish and bearish phases. For instance, in 2021, after reaching a peak, Bitcoin’s value fell below these crucial thresholds, triggering the subsequent bear market in 2022.
As the market attempts to recover from the 2022 downturn, CrypFlow notes that the journey back to a bull run did not materialize instantly. It was only after Bitcoin broke free from its long-term downtrend and re-claimed the aforementioned indicators that a bullish sentiment began to emerge.
His analysis of the current cycle reveals similarities. Bitcoin has not only retraced from its peak in 2025 but is also trading beneath a downward trendline. In addition, the cryptocurrency remains below the 50-week SMA, and the wave trend indicator has yet to surpass the -14 threshold. Until these scenarios change, Bitcoin will be perceived as trapped in a bearish phase, even amid temporary price surges.
CrypFlow identifies three critical conditions that need to be satisfied before declaring the beginning of a new bull cycle. Firstly, Bitcoin must decisively breach the descending trendline stemming from its previous peak. Secondly, it is essential for the wave trend indicator to reclaim the -14 level. Finally, the price must rise above the 50-week SMA.
These indicators collectively supported the transition into a prolonged rally during the last cycle. Until these signals are detected again, any upward price movement will lack confirmation. It is important to note that because the 50 SMA is a lagging indicator, identifying the absolute bottom is less significant than confirming that the cycling market conditions have shifted.
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