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XRP Could Surpass Bitcoin, Retired Veteran Predicts

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Raj Patel verified
Crypto Casino & Gaming Industry Analyst

A crypto casino and gaming specialist, Raj brings a digital native’s perspective to industry trends and provably fair systems. Having reviewed over 150 platforms, he…

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A former US Army combat medic has made a bold assertion regarding the future of cryptocurrency, suggesting that XRP could soon overtake Bitcoin as the leader in market value. In order for this prediction to materialize, XRP’s price would need to surge from its current level of $1.41 to approximately $24.

Patrick L. Riley, who has transitioned into a role as a market analyst on social media, shared his outlook on X, though he did not provide any data or a timeline to support his claim. This isn’t the first time Riley has voiced such predictions; just last month, he expressed confidence that XRP would ascend to the top spot among cryptocurrencies within the next six years, irrespective of whether Bitcoin manages to reach $150,000 in value this year.

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Moreover, Riley warned that if Bitcoin fails to reclaim its 12-year trend line, it could potentially plummet to as low as $1,000. Currently, according to market data, XRP stands fourth in total market capitalization with around $87 billion, while Bitcoin remains dominant with $1.45 trillion. Ethereum is positioned second with a valuation of $254 billion, and BNB is third at $89.3 billion, closely followed by XRP.

In his post, Riley outlined two predictions, stating his firm belief that the unfolding military conflict would not be a brief four to five-week engagement, and that XRP would indeed surpass Bitcoin.

To transition from its current standing to the forefront, XRP must first surpass BNB’s market cap, which is roughly 3.5% higher, and then tackle the formidable task of outperforming Ethereum, requiring a 190% increase to exceed $4.15. A further climb would be necessary to achieve the anticipated price of $23.70 to outstrip Bitcoin.

Historically, XRP last surpassed Ethereum in December 2019, and since then, it has fluctuated between the third and fourth ranks, consistently vying with BNB for market position.

Riley’s forecasts echo sentiments shared by others in the financial commentary space. For instance, in August 2025, a finance commentator known as Coach JV predicted XRP’s rise to the top by 2030, with Bitcoin relegated to the second position.

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Similarly, Jacob King, CEO of SwanDesk, made a noteworthy remark in March 2025, asserting that the US government’s decision to include XRP in its national cryptocurrency reserves effectively sidelined Bitcoin. He stated that XRP’s market cap was bound to exceed that of Bitcoin, although he did not specify when this would happen.

In a broader context, Riley’s predictions have a backdrop of the ongoing military tensions in the Middle East, specifically the conflict that erupted between Israel and Iran on February 28. Both the US and Israel executed coordinated strikes on Iranian leadership and nuclear assets, leading to significant retaliatory measures from Iran.

While some officials, including US President Donald Trump, estimated the conflict could last around four weeks, Riley has expressed skepticism about this projection, although he refrained from detailing the basis for his belief that the conflict would conclude sooner.

As developments unfold in both the cryptocurrency market and international relations, the implications of these predictions remain to be seen, potentially reshaping the landscape of both sectors.

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Raj Patel

verified
Crypto Casino & Gaming Industry Analyst

A crypto casino and gaming specialist, Raj brings a digital native’s perspective to industry trends and provably fair systems. Having reviewed over 150 platforms, he balances a passion for innovation with a rigorous commitment to responsible gambling.

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Raj Patel
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